Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads, including 43% in the September Datafolha survey against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 25%, and a broad coalition spanning PSD, MDB, PT, and other parties. As a four-time former mayor of the capital with extensive executive experience, Paes benefits from high name recognition and emphasis on security reorganization and regional development ahead of the October 4 first round. Ruas, backed by the Liberal Party and aligned with federal opposition figures, has shown incremental gains in recent weeks but trails substantially in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates such as Anthony Garotinho, Coronel Busnello, and others register single-digit or negligible support in surveys, leaving little room for late surges given the compressed campaign timeline and voter preferences reflected in current trader pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEduardo Paes 78.7%
Douglas Ruas 21.7%
Rafa Luz <1%
Dr. Luizinho <1%
$498,518 Wol.
$498,518 Wol.

Eduardo Paes
79%

Douglas Ruas
22%

Rafa Luz
<1%

Dr. Luizinho
<1%

Eduardo Pazuello
<1%

Tarcísio Motta
<1%

Anthony Garotinho
<1%

Wilson Witzel
<1%

André Português
<1%

Lindbergh Farias
<1%

Felipe Curi
<1%

Nicola Miccione
<1%

André Ceciliano
<1%

Chico Machado
<1%

Fred Pacheco
<1%

Colonel Busnello
<1%
Eduardo Paes 78.7%
Douglas Ruas 21.7%
Rafa Luz <1%
Dr. Luizinho <1%
$498,518 Wol.
$498,518 Wol.

Eduardo Paes
79%

Douglas Ruas
22%

Rafa Luz
<1%

Dr. Luizinho
<1%

Eduardo Pazuello
<1%

Tarcísio Motta
<1%

Anthony Garotinho
<1%

Wilson Witzel
<1%

André Português
<1%

Lindbergh Farias
<1%

Felipe Curi
<1%

Nicola Miccione
<1%

André Ceciliano
<1%

Chico Machado
<1%

Fred Pacheco
<1%

Colonel Busnello
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads, including 43% in the September Datafolha survey against Douglas Ruas (PL) at 25%, and a broad coalition spanning PSD, MDB, PT, and other parties. As a four-time former mayor of the capital with extensive executive experience, Paes benefits from high name recognition and emphasis on security reorganization and regional development ahead of the October 4 first round. Ruas, backed by the Liberal Party and aligned with federal opposition figures, has shown incremental gains in recent weeks but trails substantially in head-to-head scenarios. Minor candidates such as Anthony Garotinho, Coronel Busnello, and others register single-digit or negligible support in surveys, leaving little room for late surges given the compressed campaign timeline and voter preferences reflected in current trader pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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