The Paraná Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) in a technical tie within margins of error for top positions. Fragmentation on the center-right, where multiple candidates draw from overlapping voter bases, has prevented any single contender from consolidating a clear lead in first-preference or combined-vote scenarios. Dallagnol’s recent TRE/PR eligibility ruling added momentum to his campaign, yet legal appeals and the dual-vote system continue to sustain uncertainty. Traders price the outcome near even odds for leading names because small shifts in turnout, second-preference flows, or late campaign events could reorder the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDeltan Dallagnol 48%
Alexandre Curi 27%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 1.1%
$46,872 Wol.
$46,872 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
48%
Alexandre Curi
27%
Filipe Barros
27%
Gleisi
1%
Dr. Rosinha
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
<1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Deltan Dallagnol 48%
Alexandre Curi 27%
Filipe Barros 27%
Gleisi 1.1%
$46,872 Wol.
$46,872 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Deltan Dallagnol
$23,238 Wol.
48%
Alexandre Curi
$10,328 Wol.
27%
Filipe Barros
$7,566 Wol.
27%
Gleisi
$2,070 Wol.
1%
Dr. Rosinha
$603 Wol.
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$1,019 Wol.
<1%
Marcelo Marcelino
$877 Wol.
<1%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$618 Wol.
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$553 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) in a technical tie within margins of error for top positions. Fragmentation on the center-right, where multiple candidates draw from overlapping voter bases, has prevented any single contender from consolidating a clear lead in first-preference or combined-vote scenarios. Dallagnol’s recent TRE/PR eligibility ruling added momentum to his campaign, yet legal appeals and the dual-vote system continue to sustain uncertainty. Traders price the outcome near even odds for leading names because small shifts in turnout, second-preference flows, or late campaign events could reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,872Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) in a technical tie within margins of error for top positions. Fragmentation on the center-right, where multiple candidates draw from overlapping voter bases, has prevented any single contender from consolidating a clear lead in first-preference or combined-vote scenarios. Dallagnol’s recent TRE/PR eligibility ruling added momentum to his campaign, yet legal appeals and the dual-vote system continue to sustain uncertainty. Traders price the outcome near even odds for leading names because small shifts in turnout, second-preference flows, or late campaign events could reorder the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$46,872Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná Senate race for one of two seats on October 4 remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Graeml (PSD) in a technical tie within margins of error for top positions. Fragmentation on the center-right, where multiple candidates draw from overlapping voter bases, has prevented any single contender from consolidating a clear lead in first-preference or combined-vote scenarios. Dallagnol’s recent TRE/PR eligibility ruling added momentum to his campaign, yet legal appeals and the dual-vote system continue to sustain uncertainty. Traders price the outcome near even odds for leading names because small shifts in turnout, second-preference flows, or late campaign events could reorder the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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