**Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima polling for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18%.** The state’s conservative electorate delivered Jair Bolsonaro one of his strongest 2022 margins, and this pattern persists through Flávio’s Liberal Party (PL) candidacy, reinforced by the party’s dominant position in concurrent state races. Local voters appear to prioritize continuity with the prior administration’s security and economic messaging over the incumbent’s national platform. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional preference, though outcomes could shift if right-wing vote fragmentation increases, a late national scandal erodes support, or turnout patterns among undecided or low-propensity voters deviate from recent surveys.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Lula 1.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Lula
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Lula 1.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,652 Wol.
98%
Lula
$688 Wol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$575 Wol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$581 Wol.
<1%
Zema
$438 Wol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Wol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Wol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Wol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Wol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Wol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Wol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima polling for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18%.** The state’s conservative electorate delivered Jair Bolsonaro one of his strongest 2022 margins, and this pattern persists through Flávio’s Liberal Party (PL) candidacy, reinforced by the party’s dominant position in concurrent state races. Local voters appear to prioritize continuity with the prior administration’s security and economic messaging over the incumbent’s national platform. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional preference, though outcomes could shift if right-wing vote fragmentation increases, a late national scandal erodes support, or turnout patterns among undecided or low-propensity voters deviate from recent surveys.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,628Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima polling for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18%.** The state’s conservative electorate delivered Jair Bolsonaro one of his strongest 2022 margins, and this pattern persists through Flávio’s Liberal Party (PL) candidacy, reinforced by the party’s dominant position in concurrent state races. Local voters appear to prioritize continuity with the prior administration’s security and economic messaging over the incumbent’s national platform. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional preference, though outcomes could shift if right-wing vote fragmentation increases, a late national scandal erodes support, or turnout patterns among undecided or low-propensity voters deviate from recent surveys.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$9,628Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima polling for the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent surveys showing him at 52–62% against Lula’s 17–18%.** The state’s conservative electorate delivered Jair Bolsonaro one of his strongest 2022 margins, and this pattern persists through Flávio’s Liberal Party (PL) candidacy, reinforced by the party’s dominant position in concurrent state races. Local voters appear to prioritize continuity with the prior administration’s security and economic messaging over the incumbent’s national platform. Trader consensus reflects this consistent regional preference, though outcomes could shift if right-wing vote fragmentation increases, a late national scandal erodes support, or turnout patterns among undecided or low-propensity voters deviate from recent surveys.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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