Marília Arraes (PDT) leads recent polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. A September 11 Datafolha survey placed her at 18% of total mentions, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with earlier Quaest and Real Time Big Data releases showing similar or wider margins for Arraes across consolidated first- and second-choice scenarios. Her position stems from alignment with the Frente Popular coalition backing Recife mayor João Campos, established name recognition from prior federal and state races, and consistent top rankings in multiple surveys conducted since August. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers to overtaking her in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarília Arraes 74%
Humberto Costa 16.6%
Mendonça Filho 5.7%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.9%
$30,698 Wol.
$30,698 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
74%
Humberto Costa
17%
Mendonça Filho
6%
Eduardo da Fonte
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Marília Arraes 74%
Humberto Costa 16.6%
Mendonça Filho 5.7%
Eduardo da Fonte 4.9%
$30,698 Wol.
$30,698 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$15,276 Wol.
74%
Humberto Costa
$8,517 Wol.
17%
Mendonça Filho
$1,327 Wol.
6%
Eduardo da Fonte
$879 Wol.
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$634 Wol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$633 Wol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$557 Wol.
<1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$625 Wol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$575 Wol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$624 Wol.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$528 Wol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$523 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) leads recent polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. A September 11 Datafolha survey placed her at 18% of total mentions, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with earlier Quaest and Real Time Big Data releases showing similar or wider margins for Arraes across consolidated first- and second-choice scenarios. Her position stems from alignment with the Frente Popular coalition backing Recife mayor João Campos, established name recognition from prior federal and state races, and consistent top rankings in multiple surveys conducted since August. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers to overtaking her in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,698Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) leads recent polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. A September 11 Datafolha survey placed her at 18% of total mentions, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with earlier Quaest and Real Time Big Data releases showing similar or wider margins for Arraes across consolidated first- and second-choice scenarios. Her position stems from alignment with the Frente Popular coalition backing Recife mayor João Campos, established name recognition from prior federal and state races, and consistent top rankings in multiple surveys conducted since August. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers to overtaking her in the final weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$30,698Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) leads recent polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. A September 11 Datafolha survey placed her at 18% of total mentions, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with earlier Quaest and Real Time Big Data releases showing similar or wider margins for Arraes across consolidated first- and second-choice scenarios. Her position stems from alignment with the Frente Popular coalition backing Recife mayor João Campos, established name recognition from prior federal and state races, and consistent top rankings in multiple surveys conducted since August. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers to overtaking her in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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