Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall intentions for the two DF Senate seats at around 26%, while Leila do Vôlei (PDT, incumbent), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) remain tightly clustered between 11-17% and within margins of error for the second position. This reflects voter patterns in a multi-candidate race where electors select two names, combined with stable support for established figures amid limited movement since late August surveys. Party alignments—PL backing both Michelle and Kicis, PDT and PT aligning with Lula supporters—along with undecided voters and low single-digit showings for others sustain the contest for second place. Further campaign activity, additional polling releases, or turnout shifts before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the frontrunners.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLeila do Vôlei 53%
Bia Kicis 29.1%
Erika Kokay 9%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.1%
$40,092 Wol.
$40,092 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Leila do Vôlei
53%
Bia Kicis
29%
Erika Kokay
9%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
David Horn
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Marley
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Leila do Vôlei 53%
Bia Kicis 29.1%
Erika Kokay 9%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.1%
$40,092 Wol.
$40,092 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Leila do Vôlei
$14,211 Wol.
53%
Bia Kicis
$9,633 Wol.
29%
Erika Kokay
$6,105 Wol.
9%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4,262 Wol.
4%
David Horn
$2,042 Wol.
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$437 Wol.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 Wol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 Wol.
<1%
Tiago
$546 Wol.
<1%
Marley
$392 Wol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 Wol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 Wol.
<1%
Zanata
$417 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall intentions for the two DF Senate seats at around 26%, while Leila do Vôlei (PDT, incumbent), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) remain tightly clustered between 11-17% and within margins of error for the second position. This reflects voter patterns in a multi-candidate race where electors select two names, combined with stable support for established figures amid limited movement since late August surveys. Party alignments—PL backing both Michelle and Kicis, PDT and PT aligning with Lula supporters—along with undecided voters and low single-digit showings for others sustain the contest for second place. Further campaign activity, additional polling releases, or turnout shifts before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,092Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall intentions for the two DF Senate seats at around 26%, while Leila do Vôlei (PDT, incumbent), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) remain tightly clustered between 11-17% and within margins of error for the second position. This reflects voter patterns in a multi-candidate race where electors select two names, combined with stable support for established figures amid limited movement since late August surveys. Party alignments—PL backing both Michelle and Kicis, PDT and PT aligning with Lula supporters—along with undecided voters and low single-digit showings for others sustain the contest for second place. Further campaign activity, additional polling releases, or turnout shifts before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40,092Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) leading overall intentions for the two DF Senate seats at around 26%, while Leila do Vôlei (PDT, incumbent), Bia Kicis (PL), and Erika Kokay (PT) remain tightly clustered between 11-17% and within margins of error for the second position. This reflects voter patterns in a multi-candidate race where electors select two names, combined with stable support for established figures amid limited movement since late August surveys. Party alignments—PL backing both Michelle and Kicis, PDT and PT aligning with Lula supporters—along with undecided voters and low single-digit showings for others sustain the contest for second place. Further campaign activity, additional polling releases, or turnout shifts before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the frontrunners.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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