Jerônimo Rodrigues and ACM Neto remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent September polling showing technical ties or narrow edges that vary by survey firm and methodology. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established state party infrastructure and voter loyalty built over multiple terms, while the União Brasil challenger draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and consistent name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff two weeks later, traders appear to price in a modest incumbency advantage amid stable campaign dynamics and no major late-breaking shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJerônimo Rodrigues 60%
ACM Neto 42%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$155,010 Wol.
$155,010 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
60%
ACM Neto
42%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 60%
ACM Neto 42%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$155,010 Wol.
$155,010 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$51,229 Wol.
60%
ACM Neto
$61,658 Wol.
42%
João Roma
$5,186 Wol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Wol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Wol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Wol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues and ACM Neto remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent September polling showing technical ties or narrow edges that vary by survey firm and methodology. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established state party infrastructure and voter loyalty built over multiple terms, while the União Brasil challenger draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and consistent name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff two weeks later, traders appear to price in a modest incumbency advantage amid stable campaign dynamics and no major late-breaking shifts.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$155,010Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues and ACM Neto remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent September polling showing technical ties or narrow edges that vary by survey firm and methodology. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established state party infrastructure and voter loyalty built over multiple terms, while the União Brasil challenger draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and consistent name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff two weeks later, traders appear to price in a modest incumbency advantage amid stable campaign dynamics and no major late-breaking shifts.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$155,010Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues and ACM Neto remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent September polling showing technical ties or narrow edges that vary by survey firm and methodology. The incumbent PT governor benefits from established state party infrastructure and voter loyalty built over multiple terms, while the União Brasil challenger draws strength from his record as former Salvador mayor and consistent name recognition. Minor candidates register negligible support. With the first round set for October 4 and a possible runoff two weeks later, traders appear to price in a modest incumbency advantage amid stable campaign dynamics and no major late-breaking shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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