**Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the Paraná governor race due to consistent polling leads of 44-49% in September 2026 surveys from institutes like AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23-28% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18-19%.** The open contest—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD)—has allowed Moro, a sitting senator and former Lava Jato judge who joined PL in March and was formally launched in an August convention, to consolidate support around anti-corruption messaging, education, and security priorities. Recent campaign events, including carreatas in the Curitiba region, and voter expectations of a first-round victory on October 4 have reinforced trader pricing. Lower odds for other listed candidates align with their minimal polling support and structural barriers in a field where Moro's coalition and name recognition create a wide path to victory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSergio Moro 82%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.3%
Rafael Greca <1%
$186,158 Wol.
$186,158 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
82%
Sandro Alex
16%
Requião Filho
2%
Rafael Greca
<1%
Guto Silva
<1%
Alexandre Curi
<1%
Beto Richa
<1%
Enio Verri
<1%
Luiz França
<1%
Sergio Moro 82%
Sandro Alex 16%
Requião Filho 2.3%
Rafael Greca <1%
$186,158 Wol.
$186,158 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Moro
$121,667 Wol.
82%
Sandro Alex
$18,369 Wol.
16%
Requião Filho
$22,411 Wol.
2%
Rafael Greca
$3,403 Wol.
<1%
Guto Silva
$3,022 Wol.
<1%
Alexandre Curi
$5,452 Wol.
<1%
Beto Richa
$2,625 Wol.
<1%
Enio Verri
$3,396 Wol.
<1%
Luiz França
$5,812 Wol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the Paraná governor race due to consistent polling leads of 44-49% in September 2026 surveys from institutes like AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23-28% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18-19%.**
The open contest—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD)—has allowed Moro, a sitting senator and former Lava Jato judge who joined PL in March and was formally launched in an August convention, to consolidate support around anti-corruption messaging, education, and security priorities. Recent campaign events, including carreatas in the Curitiba region, and voter expectations of a first-round victory on October 4 have reinforced trader pricing. Lower odds for other listed candidates align with their minimal polling support and structural barriers in a field where Moro's coalition and name recognition create a wide path to victory.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$186,158Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the Paraná governor race due to consistent polling leads of 44-49% in September 2026 surveys from institutes like AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23-28% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18-19%.**
The open contest—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD)—has allowed Moro, a sitting senator and former Lava Jato judge who joined PL in March and was formally launched in an August convention, to consolidate support around anti-corruption messaging, education, and security priorities. Recent campaign events, including carreatas in the Curitiba region, and voter expectations of a first-round victory on October 4 have reinforced trader pricing. Lower odds for other listed candidates align with their minimal polling support and structural barriers in a field where Moro's coalition and name recognition create a wide path to victory.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$186,158Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the Paraná governor race due to consistent polling leads of 44-49% in September 2026 surveys from institutes like AtlasIntel and Paraná Pesquisas, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23-28% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18-19%.** The open contest—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD)—has allowed Moro, a sitting senator and former Lava Jato judge who joined PL in March and was formally launched in an August convention, to consolidate support around anti-corruption messaging, education, and security priorities. Recent campaign events, including carreatas in the Curitiba region, and voter expectations of a first-round victory on October 4 have reinforced trader pricing. Lower odds for other listed candidates align with their minimal polling support and structural barriers in a field where Moro's coalition and name recognition create a wide path to victory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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