Brazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.0% to 0.2% 28%
-0.3% to -0.1% 24%
0.3% to 0.5% 21%
0.6% to 0.8% 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
10%
-0.3% to -0.1%
24%
0.0% to 0.2%
28%
0.3% to 0.5%
21%
0.6% to 0.8%
11%
0.9% to 1.1%
10%
≥1.2%
5%
0.0% to 0.2% 28%
-0.3% to -0.1% 24%
0.3% to 0.5% 21%
0.6% to 0.8% 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
$63 Wol.
10%
-0.3% to -0.1%
$438 Wol.
24%
0.0% to 0.2%
$1,679 Wol.
28%
0.3% to 0.5%
$53 Wol.
21%
0.6% to 0.8%
$63 Wol.
11%
0.9% to 1.1%
$53 Wol.
10%
≥1.2%
$53 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,402Data zakończenia
Dec 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Wolumen
$2,402Data zakończenia
Dec 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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