The Republican nominee James Kingston secured an outright primary win with 52% in May 2026 in Georgia's 1st Congressional District, an open R+8 seat previously held by Buddy Carter. Forecasters rate the November general election as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Kingston's advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and Trump endorsement against Democrat Amanda Hollowell. Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3. With the seat's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal region, trader pricing at 80.8% for an outright winner aligns with the structural and candidate factors shaping expectations ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
89% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
89% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.The Republican nominee James Kingston secured an outright primary win with 52% in May 2026 in Georgia's 1st Congressional District, an open R+8 seat previously held by Buddy Carter. Forecasters rate the November general election as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Kingston's advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and Trump endorsement against Democrat Amanda Hollowell. Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3. With the seat's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal region, trader pricing at 80.8% for an outright winner aligns with the structural and candidate factors shaping expectations ahead of the general election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
音量
$1,144終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.The Republican nominee James Kingston secured an outright primary win with 52% in May 2026 in Georgia's 1st Congressional District, an open R+8 seat previously held by Buddy Carter. Forecasters rate the November general election as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Kingston's advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and Trump endorsement against Democrat Amanda Hollowell. Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3. With the seat's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal region, trader pricing at 80.8% for an outright winner aligns with the structural and candidate factors shaping expectations ahead of the general election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
音量
$1,144終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Republican nominee James Kingston secured an outright primary win with 52% in May 2026 in Georgia's 1st Congressional District, an open R+8 seat previously held by Buddy Carter. Forecasters rate the November general election as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Kingston's advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and Trump endorsement against Democrat Amanda Hollowell. Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority on November 3. With the seat's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure in the coastal region, trader pricing at 80.8% for an outright winner aligns with the structural and candidate factors shaping expectations ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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