Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's open Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal elections and her established role as lieutenant governor. She secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the primary, drawing strong progressive and grassroots support. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who won her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. A recent TIPP poll showed the race within the margin of error at 44-42 percent, yet prediction markets continue to price in a wide margin reflecting historical patterns and limited crossover appeal for the GOP candidate. Late shifts in turnout among independents or national political developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$68,582 Vol.
$68,582 Vol.
2026/11/02
ペギー・フラナガン（民主党）
92%
ミシェル・タフォヤ（共和党）
9%
$68,582 Vol.
$68,582 Vol.
2026/11/02
ペギー・フラナガン（民主党）
$49,943 Vol.
92%
ミシェル・タフォヤ（共和党）
$18,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's open Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal elections and her established role as lieutenant governor. She secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the primary, drawing strong progressive and grassroots support. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who won her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. A recent TIPP poll showed the race within the margin of error at 44-42 percent, yet prediction markets continue to price in a wide margin reflecting historical patterns and limited crossover appeal for the GOP candidate. Late shifts in turnout among independents or national political developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$68,582終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's open Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal elections and her established role as lieutenant governor. She secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the primary, drawing strong progressive and grassroots support. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who won her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. A recent TIPP poll showed the race within the margin of error at 44-42 percent, yet prediction markets continue to price in a wide margin reflecting historical patterns and limited crossover appeal for the GOP candidate. Late shifts in turnout among independents or national political developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$68,582終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's open Senate seat due to the state's long Democratic dominance in federal elections and her established role as lieutenant governor. She secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the primary, drawing strong progressive and grassroots support. Republican nominee Michele Tafoya, a former broadcaster who won her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2006. A recent TIPP poll showed the race within the margin of error at 44-42 percent, yet prediction markets continue to price in a wide margin reflecting historical patterns and limited crossover appeal for the GOP candidate. Late shifts in turnout among independents or national political developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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