**Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in Georgia’s 7th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and McCormick won the prior cycle with roughly 65 percent of the vote. Recent primaries left both nominees in place without further disruption, and available polling plus prediction-market pricing show McCormick holding a wide lead consistent with the district’s underlying Republican tilt. Georgia law requires a December 1 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent; trader consensus at 99.6 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the expectation that McCormick’s margin will comfortably clear that threshold. The primary remaining variables that could theoretically alter this outcome include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Republican turnout, though none currently appear probable given the race’s structural and polling fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
>99% 確率
新規
新規
2027/03/31
はい
>99% 確率
新規
新規
2027/03/31
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in Georgia’s 7th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and McCormick won the prior cycle with roughly 65 percent of the vote. Recent primaries left both nominees in place without further disruption, and available polling plus prediction-market pricing show McCormick holding a wide lead consistent with the district’s underlying Republican tilt.
Georgia law requires a December 1 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent; trader consensus at 99.6 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the expectation that McCormick’s margin will comfortably clear that threshold. The primary remaining variables that could theoretically alter this outcome include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Republican turnout, though none currently appear probable given the race’s structural and polling fundamentals.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
音量
$1,137終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in Georgia’s 7th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and McCormick won the prior cycle with roughly 65 percent of the vote. Recent primaries left both nominees in place without further disruption, and available polling plus prediction-market pricing show McCormick holding a wide lead consistent with the district’s underlying Republican tilt.
Georgia law requires a December 1 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent; trader consensus at 99.6 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the expectation that McCormick’s margin will comfortably clear that threshold. The primary remaining variables that could theoretically alter this outcome include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Republican turnout, though none currently appear probable given the race’s structural and polling fundamentals.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
音量
$1,137終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in Georgia’s 7th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and McCormick won the prior cycle with roughly 65 percent of the vote. Recent primaries left both nominees in place without further disruption, and available polling plus prediction-market pricing show McCormick holding a wide lead consistent with the district’s underlying Republican tilt. Georgia law requires a December 1 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent; trader consensus at 99.6 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects the expectation that McCormick’s margin will comfortably clear that threshold. The primary remaining variables that could theoretically alter this outcome include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Republican turnout, though none currently appear probable given the race’s structural and polling fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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