Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive, holds a strong lead in trader-implied odds for winning his home county in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, reflecting the area’s recent Republican tilt and his local record on taxes, safety, and spending restraint. Kathy Hochul trails as the Democratic incumbent, with polls from mid-2026 showing Blakeman ahead locally even as she maintains a wider statewide edge. Recent campaign activity includes Blakeman securing corrections officer union backing and targeting suburban voters with messages on affordability and opposition to state mandates, while Hochul has gained endorsements from firefighter unions and highlighted economic programs. Nassau’s suburban voting patterns and Blakeman’s incumbency advantage continue to shape consensus probabilities ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,360 Vol.
$14,360 Vol.
2026/11/03
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
66%
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
28%
$14,360 Vol.
$14,360 Vol.
2026/11/03
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
$8,636 Vol.
66%
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
$5,724 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive, holds a strong lead in trader-implied odds for winning his home county in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, reflecting the area’s recent Republican tilt and his local record on taxes, safety, and spending restraint. Kathy Hochul trails as the Democratic incumbent, with polls from mid-2026 showing Blakeman ahead locally even as she maintains a wider statewide edge. Recent campaign activity includes Blakeman securing corrections officer union backing and targeting suburban voters with messages on affordability and opposition to state mandates, while Hochul has gained endorsements from firefighter unions and highlighted economic programs. Nassau’s suburban voting patterns and Blakeman’s incumbency advantage continue to shape consensus probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
音量
$14,360終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive, holds a strong lead in trader-implied odds for winning his home county in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, reflecting the area’s recent Republican tilt and his local record on taxes, safety, and spending restraint. Kathy Hochul trails as the Democratic incumbent, with polls from mid-2026 showing Blakeman ahead locally even as she maintains a wider statewide edge. Recent campaign activity includes Blakeman securing corrections officer union backing and targeting suburban voters with messages on affordability and opposition to state mandates, while Hochul has gained endorsements from firefighter unions and highlighted economic programs. Nassau’s suburban voting patterns and Blakeman’s incumbency advantage continue to shape consensus probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
音量
$14,360終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive, holds a strong lead in trader-implied odds for winning his home county in the November 2026 New York gubernatorial election, reflecting the area’s recent Republican tilt and his local record on taxes, safety, and spending restraint. Kathy Hochul trails as the Democratic incumbent, with polls from mid-2026 showing Blakeman ahead locally even as she maintains a wider statewide edge. Recent campaign activity includes Blakeman securing corrections officer union backing and targeting suburban voters with messages on affordability and opposition to state mandates, while Hochul has gained endorsements from firefighter unions and highlighted economic programs. Nassau’s suburban voting patterns and Blakeman’s incumbency advantage continue to shape consensus probabilities ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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