Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
95%
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
6%
$112,273 Vol.
$112,273 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・ホークル（民主党）
$49,697 Vol.
95%
ブルース・ブレイクマン（共和党）
$62,575 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$112,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$112,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York governor race due to the state's consistent Democratic tilt, her status as incumbent, and polling averages showing double-digit margins in most independent surveys. New York last elected a Republican governor in 2002, and Hochul consolidated party support after clearing her primary without major opposition. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, trails significantly in statewide surveys and lacks broad name recognition beyond Long Island suburbs. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent major shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include sustained anti-incumbent turnout in suburban and upstate areas, a late campaign event boosting Republican mobilization, or significant erosion in Hochul's favorability amid ongoing voter dissatisfaction signals in some internal polls.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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