The tight trader consensus around the Texas Senate race stems from the post-primary matchup pitting Republican Ken Paxton, who defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with former President Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat James Talarico. Paxton’s past legal issues and lower fundraising have offset the state’s longstanding Republican lean, while Talarico’s strong primary performance, substantial financial edge, and gains among independents and Hispanic voters have kept the contest within the margin of error in recent polling. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November general election hinging on turnout among core partisan blocs, economic messaging, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,042,048 Vol.
$1,042,048 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
51%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
51%
$1,042,048 Vol.
$1,042,048 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・タラリコ（民主党）
$477,790 Vol.
51%
ケン・パクストン（共和党）
$564,258 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The tight trader consensus around the Texas Senate race stems from the post-primary matchup pitting Republican Ken Paxton, who defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with former President Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat James Talarico. Paxton’s past legal issues and lower fundraising have offset the state’s longstanding Republican lean, while Talarico’s strong primary performance, substantial financial edge, and gains among independents and Hispanic voters have kept the contest within the margin of error in recent polling. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November general election hinging on turnout among core partisan blocs, economic messaging, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
音量
$1,042,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The tight trader consensus around the Texas Senate race stems from the post-primary matchup pitting Republican Ken Paxton, who defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with former President Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat James Talarico. Paxton’s past legal issues and lower fundraising have offset the state’s longstanding Republican lean, while Talarico’s strong primary performance, substantial financial edge, and gains among independents and Hispanic voters have kept the contest within the margin of error in recent polling. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November general election hinging on turnout among core partisan blocs, economic messaging, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$1,042,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The tight trader consensus around the Texas Senate race stems from the post-primary matchup pitting Republican Ken Paxton, who defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with former President Trump’s endorsement, against Democrat James Talarico. Paxton’s past legal issues and lower fundraising have offset the state’s longstanding Republican lean, while Talarico’s strong primary performance, substantial financial edge, and gains among independents and Hispanic voters have kept the contest within the margin of error in recent polling. Forecasters rate it a toss-up or lean Republican, with the November general election hinging on turnout among core partisan blocs, economic messaging, and any late shifts in voter sentiment before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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