Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race against Republican Michael Whatley due to his high name recognition, consistent double-digit leads in multiple polls driven by strong support among independents and women, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $40 million. The open seat, vacated by retiring Senator Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper consolidate Democratic support while Whatley, the Trump-endorsed former RNC chair, faces challenges with lower favorability and slower momentum in battleground metrics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these trends, though scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in national economic conditions, changes in voter turnout among key demographics, late-cycle advertising surges from national Republican groups, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$103,193 Vol.
$103,193 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロイ・クーパー（民主党）
92%
マイケル・ワトリー（共和党）
9%
$103,193 Vol.
$103,193 Vol.
2026/11/02
ロイ・クーパー（民主党）
$43,134 Vol.
92%
マイケル・ワトリー（共和党）
$60,058 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race against Republican Michael Whatley due to his high name recognition, consistent double-digit leads in multiple polls driven by strong support among independents and women, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $40 million. The open seat, vacated by retiring Senator Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper consolidate Democratic support while Whatley, the Trump-endorsed former RNC chair, faces challenges with lower favorability and slower momentum in battleground metrics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these trends, though scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in national economic conditions, changes in voter turnout among key demographics, late-cycle advertising surges from national Republican groups, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$103,193終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race against Republican Michael Whatley due to his high name recognition, consistent double-digit leads in multiple polls driven by strong support among independents and women, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $40 million. The open seat, vacated by retiring Senator Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper consolidate Democratic support while Whatley, the Trump-endorsed former RNC chair, faces challenges with lower favorability and slower momentum in battleground metrics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these trends, though scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in national economic conditions, changes in voter turnout among key demographics, late-cycle advertising surges from national Republican groups, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$103,193終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race against Republican Michael Whatley due to his high name recognition, consistent double-digit leads in multiple polls driven by strong support among independents and women, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $40 million. The open seat, vacated by retiring Senator Thom Tillis, has seen Cooper consolidate Democratic support while Whatley, the Trump-endorsed former RNC chair, faces challenges with lower favorability and slower momentum in battleground metrics. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these trends, though scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in national economic conditions, changes in voter turnout among key demographics, late-cycle advertising surges from national Republican groups, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate's standing before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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