Texas Republican state Sen. Mayes Middleton secured the GOP nomination after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat race to replace Ken Paxton. Traders assign Middleton an 85% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Democratic state Sen. Nathan Johnson, reflecting Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in statewide contests, Middleton's self-funded primary campaign and alignment with the party's conservative base, and historical patterns favoring GOP candidates in attorney general races. Johnson, who won his party's runoff, benefits from some summer polling showing a narrower gap than typical, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the office continuously since 1999.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
メイズ・ミドルトン（共和党）
85%
ネイサン・ジョンソン（民主党）
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
メイズ・ミドルトン（共和党）
$502 Vol.
85%
ネイサン・ジョンソン（民主党）
$55 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Texas Republican state Sen. Mayes Middleton secured the GOP nomination after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat race to replace Ken Paxton. Traders assign Middleton an 85% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Democratic state Sen. Nathan Johnson, reflecting Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in statewide contests, Middleton's self-funded primary campaign and alignment with the party's conservative base, and historical patterns favoring GOP candidates in attorney general races. Johnson, who won his party's runoff, benefits from some summer polling showing a narrower gap than typical, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the office continuously since 1999.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
音量
$556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Texas Republican state Sen. Mayes Middleton secured the GOP nomination after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat race to replace Ken Paxton. Traders assign Middleton an 85% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Democratic state Sen. Nathan Johnson, reflecting Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in statewide contests, Middleton's self-funded primary campaign and alignment with the party's conservative base, and historical patterns favoring GOP candidates in attorney general races. Johnson, who won his party's runoff, benefits from some summer polling showing a narrower gap than typical, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the office continuously since 1999.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Texas Republican state Sen. Mayes Middleton secured the GOP nomination after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory over U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the open-seat race to replace Ken Paxton. Traders assign Middleton an 85% implied probability of winning the November 3 general election against Democratic state Sen. Nathan Johnson, reflecting Texas's longstanding Republican tilt in statewide contests, Middleton's self-funded primary campaign and alignment with the party's conservative base, and historical patterns favoring GOP candidates in attorney general races. Johnson, who won his party's runoff, benefits from some summer polling showing a narrower gap than typical, yet faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the office continuously since 1999.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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