**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
93% 確率
新規
新規
2027/03/31
はい
93% 確率
新規
新規
2027/03/31
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
音量
$352終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
音量
$352終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問