Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate general election market following her first-place finish in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote against incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan’s 41.4%. The November 3 contest uses ranked-choice voting among Peltola, Sullivan, and two additional Republicans who advanced. Recent polling averages show a tossup with narrow margins, and forecasters rate the race competitive due to Alaska’s independent electorate and Peltola’s name recognition as the state’s former U.S. representative. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and Republican structural advantages, while minor candidates remain negligible factors in trader assessments. The primary outcome and ballot finalization in early September have reinforced Peltola’s position in the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メアリー・ペルトラ 67%
ダン・サリバン上院議員 34%
リチャード・グレイソン <1%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
$478,463 Vol.
$478,463 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
67%
ダン・サリバン上院議員
34%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
ダニエル・J・サリバン・ジュニア
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
デイビッド・レスリー
<1%
メアリー・ペルトラ 67%
ダン・サリバン上院議員 34%
リチャード・グレイソン <1%
ダスティン・ダーデン <1%
$478,463 Vol.
$478,463 Vol.
メアリー・ペルトラ
67%
ダン・サリバン上院議員
34%
リチャード・グレイソン
<1%
ダスティン・ダーデン
<1%
ダニエル・J・サリバン・ジュニア
<1%
アン・ディーナー
<1%
デイビッド・レスリー
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate general election market following her first-place finish in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote against incumbent Republican Dan S. Sullivan’s 41.4%. The November 3 contest uses ranked-choice voting among Peltola, Sullivan, and two additional Republicans who advanced. Recent polling averages show a tossup with narrow margins, and forecasters rate the race competitive due to Alaska’s independent electorate and Peltola’s name recognition as the state’s former U.S. representative. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and Republican structural advantages, while minor candidates remain negligible factors in trader assessments. The primary outcome and ballot finalization in early September have reinforced Peltola’s position in the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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