The Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up, with recent polling averages showing Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow 1- to 3-point lead over Mike Rogers among likely voters. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, buoyed by strong progressive support and fundraising. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from Trump endorsement and name recognition but faces headwinds in a state with divided voter preferences. Upcoming debates and late-cycle shifts in key demographics such as independents and suburban voters could influence the November outcome, consistent with the current trader-implied probabilities reflecting a slight Democratic edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$792,821 Vol.
$792,821 Vol.
2026/11/02
アブドル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
62%
マイク・ロジャーズ（共和党）
40%
$792,821 Vol.
$792,821 Vol.
2026/11/02
アブドル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
$450,839 Vol.
62%
マイク・ロジャーズ（共和党）
$341,982 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up, with recent polling averages showing Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow 1- to 3-point lead over Mike Rogers among likely voters. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, buoyed by strong progressive support and fundraising. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from Trump endorsement and name recognition but faces headwinds in a state with divided voter preferences. Upcoming debates and late-cycle shifts in key demographics such as independents and suburban voters could influence the November outcome, consistent with the current trader-implied probabilities reflecting a slight Democratic edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$792,821終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up, with recent polling averages showing Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow 1- to 3-point lead over Mike Rogers among likely voters. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, buoyed by strong progressive support and fundraising. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from Trump endorsement and name recognition but faces headwinds in a state with divided voter preferences. Upcoming debates and late-cycle shifts in key demographics such as independents and suburban voters could influence the November outcome, consistent with the current trader-implied probabilities reflecting a slight Democratic edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$792,821終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters remains a toss-up, with recent polling averages showing Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow 1- to 3-point lead over Mike Rogers among likely voters. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, buoyed by strong progressive support and fundraising. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, benefits from Trump endorsement and name recognition but faces headwinds in a state with divided voter preferences. Upcoming debates and late-cycle shifts in key demographics such as independents and suburban voters could influence the November outcome, consistent with the current trader-implied probabilities reflecting a slight Democratic edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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