Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCrescita del PIL nel 2026
Crescita del PIL nel 2026
2,0–2,5% 45%
1,5–2,0% 38.4%
>2,5% 6.1%
<0,5% 3.3%
$60,615 Vol.
$60,615 Vol.
28 gen 2027
<0,5%
3%
0,5–1,0%
1%
1,0–1,5%
3%
1,5–2,0%
38%
2,0–2,5%
45%
>2,5%
6%
2,0–2,5% 45%
1,5–2,0% 38.4%
>2,5% 6.1%
<0,5% 3.3%
$60,615 Vol.
$60,615 Vol.
28 gen 2027
<0,5%
$7,659 Vol.
3%
0,5–1,0%
$17,367 Vol.
1%
1,0–1,5%
$3,951 Vol.
3%
1,5–2,0%
$7,588 Vol.
38%
2,0–2,5%
$7,922 Vol.
45%
>2,5%
$16,129 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$60,615Data di fine
29 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,615Data di fine
29 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Recent economic data and institutional forecasts position 2026 U.S. real GDP growth near 2.0–2.2%, with the Congressional Budget Office projecting 2.2%, the IMF at 2.3%, and the FOMC’s June median at 2.2%. AI-related capital expenditures and resilient consumer spending have supported business investment, offsetting drags from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and firmer inflation readings. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% reflects persistent price pressures, while second-quarter GDP came in at a 1.5% annualized rate. Polymarket odds favoring the 2.0–2.5% band over 1.5–2.0% capture this balance between productivity gains and supply-side headwinds, with upcoming CPI releases and the September FOMC meeting as near-term swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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