Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato≥3.0% 42%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 23%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,170 Vol.
$25,170 Vol.
29 ott 2026
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
3%
1.0–1.5%
5%
1.5–2.0%
9%
2.0–2.5%
26%
2.5–3.0%
23%
≥3.0%
42%
≥3.0% 42%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 23%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,170 Vol.
$25,170 Vol.
29 ott 2026
<0.5%
$896 Vol.
3%
0.5–1.0%
$559 Vol.
3%
1.0–1.5%
$650 Vol.
5%
1.5–2.0%
$718 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.5%
$1,885 Vol.
26%
2.5–3.0%
$3,391 Vol.
23%
≥3.0%
$17,072 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Volume
$25,170Data di fine
29 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Volume
$25,170Data di fine
29 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 real GDP growth, currently at 4.7% annualized as of early September, reflect upward revisions from strong consumer spending and private investment data, including AI-related capital expenditures. These readings support the market's leading implied probability of 42% for growth at or above 3.0%, outpacing the 25.5% on 2.0–2.5% and 22.5% on 2.5–3.0%. Solid August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% reinforce labor market resilience, though professional forecaster medians around 2.2% and elevated core PCE inflation near 3.3% introduce downside risks ahead of the advance estimate. Trader consensus prices in this range of outcomes amid tight monetary policy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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