Brazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,0% a 0,2% 28%
-0,3% a -0,1% 24%
0,3% a 0,5% 21%
0,6% a 0,8% 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 dic 2026
<-0,3%
10%
-0,3% a -0,1%
24%
0,0% a 0,2%
28%
0,3% a 0,5%
21%
0,6% a 0,8%
11%
0,9% a 1,1%
10%
≥1,2%
5%
0,0% a 0,2% 28%
-0,3% a -0,1% 24%
0,3% a 0,5% 21%
0,6% a 0,8% 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 dic 2026
<-0,3%
$63 Vol.
10%
-0,3% a -0,1%
$438 Vol.
24%
0,0% a 0,2%
$1,679 Vol.
28%
0,3% a 0,5%
$53 Vol.
21%
0,6% a 0,8%
$63 Vol.
11%
0,9% a 1,1%
$53 Vol.
10%
≥1,2%
$53 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$2,402Data di fine
2 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volume
$2,402Data di fine
2 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s Q2 2026 GDP expanded 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding the 0.4% consensus but decelerating sharply from Q1’s 1.1% pace amid contracting household consumption and elevated borrowing costs. With the Selic policy rate at 14% after successive cuts and full-year growth projections holding near 1.93%, early Q3 indicators signal activity near zero as rate-sensitive sectors stall and fiscal stimulus effects fade. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around modest outcomes because traders weigh resilient labor market data and agricultural support against persistent inflation near 5% and restrictive monetary policy, leaving room for either slight positive or negative prints depending on September retail sales and industrial production releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti