**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate election on October 4, 2026, where voters select two senators.** Recent polls, including Real Time Big Data (early September) and Quaest/AtlasIntel (July–August), show Helder Barbalho (MDB) comfortably ahead in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions at 21–36%, positioning him for first. This leaves a fragmented race for second among Éder Mauro (typically 14–18%), incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos, 7–15%), Celso Sabino (PDT, 5–12%), and Chicão (União, ~5–12%), all within margins of error. High undecided shares (15–30%) and the dual-vote system sustain uncertainty, with Éder Mauro’s consistent polling edge and PL-aligned support driving the current market consensus. Party conventions in July–August formalized the field with no major late shifts reported.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDélégué Éder Mauro 65%
Zequinha Marinho 22%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.3%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.

Délégué Éder Mauro
65%

Zequinha Marinho
22%

Celso Sabino
8%

Helder
5%

Edlaine Rodrigues
4%

Breno Guimarães
2%

Chicão
2%

Conti
2%

Fernanda Lopes
1%

Gizelle Freitas
1%

Willem da Silva
<1%
Délégué Éder Mauro 65%
Zequinha Marinho 22%
Celso Sabino 8%
Helder 5.3%
$24,607 Vol.
$24,607 Vol.

Délégué Éder Mauro
65%

Zequinha Marinho
22%

Celso Sabino
8%

Helder
5%

Edlaine Rodrigues
4%

Breno Guimarães
2%

Chicão
2%

Conti
2%

Fernanda Lopes
1%

Gizelle Freitas
1%

Willem da Silva
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate election on October 4, 2026, where voters select two senators.** Recent polls, including Real Time Big Data (early September) and Quaest/AtlasIntel (July–August), show Helder Barbalho (MDB) comfortably ahead in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions at 21–36%, positioning him for first. This leaves a fragmented race for second among Éder Mauro (typically 14–18%), incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos, 7–15%), Celso Sabino (PDT, 5–12%), and Chicão (União, ~5–12%), all within margins of error. High undecided shares (15–30%) and the dual-vote system sustain uncertainty, with Éder Mauro’s consistent polling edge and PL-aligned support driving the current market consensus. Party conventions in July–August formalized the field with no major late shifts reported.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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