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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins

Flavio Bolsonaro 63%

Lula 29%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$24,788 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 63%

Lula 29%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$24,788 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$11,787 Vol.

63%

icon for Lula

Lula

$6,875 Vol.

29%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$342 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,256 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

$527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$448 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Tocantins in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent state-level polling that shows him tied or narrowly ahead of incumbent Lula.** Multiple Real Time Big Data surveys from June through mid-September place the two in a technical tie around 36-38% each in stimulated first-round scenarios, with Flavio often edging ahead in runoff hypotheticals and other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury registering single digits. Tocantins polling has highlighted stronger regional support for PL-aligned candidates amid agribusiness and evangelical voter patterns. Recent surveys through September 2026 have kept the race stable without decisive shifts, while national attention on the October 4 first round reinforces the state-specific edge traders assign to Flavio over Lula or fragmented alternatives.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$24,788
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Tocantins in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent state-level polling that shows him tied or narrowly ahead of incumbent Lula.** Multiple Real Time Big Data surveys from June through mid-September place the two in a technical tie around 36-38% each in stimulated first-round scenarios, with Flavio often edging ahead in runoff hypotheticals and other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury registering single digits. Tocantins polling has highlighted stronger regional support for PL-aligned candidates amid agribusiness and evangelical voter patterns. Recent surveys through September 2026 have kept the race stable without decisive shifts, while national attention on the October 4 first round reinforces the state-specific edge traders assign to Flavio over Lula or fragmented alternatives.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$24,788
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

71%
Oui
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

92%
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à Santa Catarina ?

Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à Santa Catarina ?

97%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 63%, suivi de « Lula » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 63¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins » a généré $24.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins » est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 63%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 63% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lula » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Tocantins » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.