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icon for Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place

Cid Gomes 77%

Capitão Wagner 13%

Luizianne 6.2%

Alcides Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$23,167 Vol.

Cid Gomes 77%

Capitão Wagner 13%

Luizianne 6.2%

Alcides Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$23,167 Vol.

icon for Cid Gomes

Cid Gomes

$15,438 Vol.

77%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$2,701 Vol.

13%

icon for Luizianne

Luizianne

$1,258 Vol.

6%

icon for Alcides Fernandes

Alcides Fernandes

$857 Vol.

1%

icon for Lino Alves

Lino Alves

$840 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guilherme Theophilo

Guilherme Theophilo

$654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Catarina Matos

Catarina Matos

$650 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reginaldo

Reginaldo

$769 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in recent polling for the top Senate seat in Ceará, with consolidated first- and second-preference support in the 23–27% range across multiple institutes, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) who trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below. His position stems from strong name recognition as the incumbent senator and former governor, consistent performance in both first-preference and combined-vote scenarios, and formal confirmation of his candidacy by the PSB in early August. The race for the second seat remains more fragmented, with Wagner, Lins, and Alcides Fernandes (PL) competing in a narrower band, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Traders price the 1st-place outcome accordingly, reflecting polling stability through early September ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,167
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in recent polling for the top Senate seat in Ceará, with consolidated first- and second-preference support in the 23–27% range across multiple institutes, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) who trail in the low-to-mid 20s or below. His position stems from strong name recognition as the incumbent senator and former governor, consistent performance in both first-preference and combined-vote scenarios, and formal confirmation of his candidacy by the PSB in early August. The race for the second seat remains more fragmented, with Wagner, Lins, and Alcides Fernandes (PL) competing in a narrower band, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Traders price the 1st-place outcome accordingly, reflecting polling stability through early September ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,167
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Luizianne remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Ceará ?

Luizianne remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Ceará ?

43%
Oui
icon for Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

50%
icon for Lula remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil dans le Ceará ?

Lula remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil dans le Ceará ?

98%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Cid Gomes » à 77%, suivi de « Capitão Wagner » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 77¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place » a généré $23.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place » est « Cid Gomes » à 77%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 77% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Capitão Wagner » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Ceará : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.