Dr. Fernando Máximo holds the clearest edge in the Rondônia Senate race for first place, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls as the top vote-getter among the ten candidates vying for two seats on October 4. His background as a federal deputy with the state's highest 2022 vote total and prior service as state health secretary has helped consolidate support within the PL base. The contest for the remaining top position remains fragmented, with Sílvia Cristina, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered in polling averages amid high undecided shares and technical ties. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities for separation, as voter preferences have shown limited consolidation in surveys through late August. Upcoming campaign events and further polling releases could shift positioning ahead of election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection au Sénat de Rondônia : 1ère place
Élection au Sénat de Rondônia : 1ère place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 55%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 5.9%
Mariana Carvalho 1.9%
$37,841 Vol.
$37,841 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
55%
Sílvia Cristina
38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
6%
Mariana Carvalho
2%
Luis Fernando
1%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
<1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Neidinha
<1%
Acir Gurgacz
<1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 55%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 5.9%
Mariana Carvalho 1.9%
$37,841 Vol.
$37,841 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$16,261 Vol.
55%
Sílvia Cristina
$16,794 Vol.
38%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$726 Vol.
6%
Mariana Carvalho
$528 Vol.
2%
Luis Fernando
$485 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$598 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$578 Vol.
<1%
Aires Mota
$569 Vol.
<1%
Neidinha
$762 Vol.
<1%
Acir Gurgacz
$540 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo holds the clearest edge in the Rondônia Senate race for first place, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls as the top vote-getter among the ten candidates vying for two seats on October 4. His background as a federal deputy with the state's highest 2022 vote total and prior service as state health secretary has helped consolidate support within the PL base. The contest for the remaining top position remains fragmented, with Sílvia Cristina, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered in polling averages amid high undecided shares and technical ties. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities for separation, as voter preferences have shown limited consolidation in surveys through late August. Upcoming campaign events and further polling releases could shift positioning ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$37,841Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo holds the clearest edge in the Rondônia Senate race for first place, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls as the top vote-getter among the ten candidates vying for two seats on October 4. His background as a federal deputy with the state's highest 2022 vote total and prior service as state health secretary has helped consolidate support within the PL base. The contest for the remaining top position remains fragmented, with Sílvia Cristina, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered in polling averages amid high undecided shares and technical ties. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities for separation, as voter preferences have shown limited consolidation in surveys through late August. Upcoming campaign events and further polling releases could shift positioning ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,841Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Fernando Máximo holds the clearest edge in the Rondônia Senate race for first place, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls as the top vote-getter among the ten candidates vying for two seats on October 4. His background as a federal deputy with the state's highest 2022 vote total and prior service as state health secretary has helped consolidate support within the PL base. The contest for the remaining top position remains fragmented, with Sílvia Cristina, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Mariana Carvalho clustered in polling averages amid high undecided shares and technical ties. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities for separation, as voter preferences have shown limited consolidation in surveys through late August. Upcoming campaign events and further polling releases could shift positioning ahead of election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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