Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Quaest, AtlasIntel, DataTrends, and Real Time Big Data surveys placing him at 54-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-32% and single-digit shares for all other listed candidates. Trader consensus at 97.5% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival, reflecting the president’s established support base in the Northeast state. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest September data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,325 Vol.
$10,325 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Lula
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,325 Vol.
$10,325 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Lula
$6,107 Vol.
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$402 Vol.
1%
Zema
$399 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$334 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$329 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$344 Vol.
<1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
$344 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$333 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$366 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$421 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$344 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$301 Vol.
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
$300 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Quaest, AtlasIntel, DataTrends, and Real Time Big Data surveys placing him at 54-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-32% and single-digit shares for all other listed candidates. Trader consensus at 97.5% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival, reflecting the president’s established support base in the Northeast state. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest September data.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$10,325Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Quaest, AtlasIntel, DataTrends, and Real Time Big Data surveys placing him at 54-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-32% and single-digit shares for all other listed candidates. Trader consensus at 97.5% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival, reflecting the president’s established support base in the Northeast state. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest September data.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,325Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the 2026 presidential first round, with recent Quaest, AtlasIntel, DataTrends, and Real Time Big Data surveys placing him at 54-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro’s 19-32% and single-digit shares for all other listed candidates. Trader consensus at 97.5% for Lula aligns with these repeated statewide samples showing double-digit leads over the nearest rival, reflecting the president’s established support base in the Northeast state. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout changes, coalition realignments, or unforeseen legal developments affecting candidate eligibility, though no such factors have materialized in the latest September data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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Oui
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Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?
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