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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place

Helder 79%

Délégué Éder Mauro 10.4%

Zequinha Marinho 7.0%

Edlaine Rodrigues 4.7%

Polymarket

$17,237 Vol.

Helder 79%

Délégué Éder Mauro 10.4%

Zequinha Marinho 7.0%

Edlaine Rodrigues 4.7%

Polymarket

$17,237 Vol.

icon for Helder

Helder

$11,644 Vol.

79%

icon for Délégué Éder Mauro

Délégué Éder Mauro

$635 Vol.

10%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$569 Vol.

7%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$600 Vol.

5%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$529 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$726 Vol.

1%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$499 Vol.

1%

icon for Conti

Conti

$551 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$436 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling as the top vote-getter.** A September 3–7 Real Time Big Data survey of 1,600 voters showed him at 36% in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) at 17% and a group including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 12% each. Helder’s advantage stems from his high name recognition as term-limited outgoing governor, broad coalition backing, and strong first-preference support (45% in the same poll). The October 4 election renews two Senate seats, with voters selecting two candidates; lower-polling names such as Mauro trail significantly in trader pricing, consistent with their single-digit to mid-teen shares in surveys. No major late shifts have altered this positioning.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,237
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting his consistent lead in recent polling as the top vote-getter.** A September 3–7 Real Time Big Data survey of 1,600 voters showed him at 36% in consolidated first- and second-preference votes, ahead of Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) at 17% and a group including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 12% each. Helder’s advantage stems from his high name recognition as term-limited outgoing governor, broad coalition backing, and strong first-preference support (45% in the same poll). The October 4 election renews two Senate seats, with voters selecting two candidates; lower-polling names such as Mauro trail significantly in trader pricing, consistent with their single-digit to mid-teen shares in surveys. No major late shifts have altered this positioning.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,237
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Est-ce que le délégué Éder Mauro obtiendra le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Pará ?

Est-ce que le délégué Éder Mauro obtiendra le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Pará ?

64%
Oui
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

81%
icon for Eduardo Braga remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Eduardo Braga remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

83%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Helder » à 79%, suivi de « Délégué Éder Mauro » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place » a généré $17.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place » est « Helder » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Délégué Éder Mauro » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pará : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.