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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná

Sergio Moro 83%

Sandro Alex 16%

Requião Filho 2.3%

Rafael Greca <1%

Polymarket

$186,111 Vol.

Sergio Moro 83%

Sandro Alex 16%

Requião Filho 2.3%

Rafael Greca <1%

Polymarket

$186,111 Vol.

Sergio Moro

$121,667 Vol.

83%

Sandro Alex

$18,322 Vol.

16%

Requião Filho

$22,411 Vol.

2%

Rafael Greca

$3,403 Vol.

<1%

Guto Silva

$3,022 Vol.

<1%

Alexandre Curi

$5,452 Vol.

<1%

Beto Richa

$2,625 Vol.

<1%

Enio Verri

$3,396 Vol.

<1%

Luiz França

$5,812 Vol.

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 44-49% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23-28% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18-20%. Recent surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, conducted in mid-September, show Moro's support stable or slightly fluctuating within margins of error, with the possibility of a first-round victory on October 4. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking reelection, allowing Moro's profile as a senator and former judge to consolidate backing across multiple institutes. Campaign activity, including carreatas and local events, alongside legal disputes over ads, has kept focus on the top three contenders while minor candidates remain marginal. Trader pricing aligns with this polling trajectory and the compressed timeline to voting.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$186,111
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads of 44-49% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 23-28% and Sandro Alex (PSD) at 18-20%. Recent surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, conducted in mid-September, show Moro's support stable or slightly fluctuating within margins of error, with the possibility of a first-round victory on October 4. The open contest stems from term limits barring incumbent Ratinho Junior (PSD) from seeking reelection, allowing Moro's profile as a senator and former judge to consolidate backing across multiple institutes. Campaign activity, including carreatas and local events, alongside legal disputes over ads, has kept focus on the top three contenders while minor candidates remain marginal. Trader pricing aligns with this polling trajectory and the compressed timeline to voting.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$186,111
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

99%
Oui
icon for Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

82%
Oui
icon for Rafael Fonteles gagnera-t-il l'élection au gouvernorat du Piauí en 2026 ?

Rafael Fonteles gagnera-t-il l'élection au gouvernorat du Piauí en 2026 ?

99%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Sergio Moro » à 83%, suivi de « Sandro Alex » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná » a généré $186.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná » est « Sergio Moro » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Sandro Alex » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Paraná » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.