Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority over impeachment of Supreme Court justices, and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has not advanced any of the roughly 55–65 pending requests against Alexandre de Moraes despite a September 2026 scandal involving Federal Police reports on his ties to a jailed banker. Removal requires a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators; recent surveys indicate support near 40 votes, well short of the threshold. The court itself postponed a decision on opening an internal probe into Moraes following mutual accusations with Justice André Mendonça, leaving the matter unresolved amid the October election cycle. Historical precedent shows no STF justice removed by the Senate in the modern era, sustaining trader consensus that de Moraes will remain in office.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
17% chance
$91,727 Vol.
$91,727 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
17% chance
$91,727 Vol.
$91,727 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority over impeachment of Supreme Court justices, and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has not advanced any of the roughly 55–65 pending requests against Alexandre de Moraes despite a September 2026 scandal involving Federal Police reports on his ties to a jailed banker. Removal requires a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators; recent surveys indicate support near 40 votes, well short of the threshold. The court itself postponed a decision on opening an internal probe into Moraes following mutual accusations with Justice André Mendonça, leaving the matter unresolved amid the October election cycle. Historical precedent shows no STF justice removed by the Senate in the modern era, sustaining trader consensus that de Moraes will remain in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$91,727Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority over impeachment of Supreme Court justices, and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has not advanced any of the roughly 55–65 pending requests against Alexandre de Moraes despite a September 2026 scandal involving Federal Police reports on his ties to a jailed banker. Removal requires a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators; recent surveys indicate support near 40 votes, well short of the threshold. The court itself postponed a decision on opening an internal probe into Moraes following mutual accusations with Justice André Mendonça, leaving the matter unresolved amid the October election cycle. Historical precedent shows no STF justice removed by the Senate in the modern era, sustaining trader consensus that de Moraes will remain in office.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,727Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority over impeachment of Supreme Court justices, and Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has not advanced any of the roughly 55–65 pending requests against Alexandre de Moraes despite a September 2026 scandal involving Federal Police reports on his ties to a jailed banker. Removal requires a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators; recent surveys indicate support near 40 votes, well short of the threshold. The court itself postponed a decision on opening an internal probe into Moraes following mutual accusations with Justice André Mendonça, leaving the matter unresolved amid the October election cycle. Historical precedent shows no STF justice removed by the Senate in the modern era, sustaining trader consensus that de Moraes will remain in office.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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