Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate in Brazil’s 2026 presidential race, has already participated in a televised debate on August 23 and secured clearance via a September 1 TSE ruling by Minister Dias Toffoli that restored his eligibility for debates, interviews, and campaign activities after a brief suspension. Additional encounters, including a parallel debate scheduled for September 14 with Ronaldo Caiado and recent sabatinas, remain on the calendar ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Traders price continued participation near certainty because his registered candidacy, single-digit polling, and need for media visibility align with standard campaign incentives absent fresh legal obstacles. Late-stage court interventions, candidate health events, or wholesale cancellation of remaining televised formats represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome.