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icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place

Benedita da Silva 62%

Marcelo Crivella 23.1%

Carlos Jordy 7%

Carlos Portinho 4.5%

Polymarket

$46,747 Vol.

Benedita da Silva 62%

Marcelo Crivella 23.1%

Carlos Jordy 7%

Carlos Portinho 4.5%

Polymarket

$46,747 Vol.

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$17,438 Vol.

62%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$4,886 Vol.

23%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$10,132 Vol.

7%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$3,286 Vol.

5%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$2,432 Vol.

3%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$816 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$375 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$763 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$887 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$845 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$707 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the strongest position in the Rio de Janeiro Senate race for first place, backed by recent polling gains ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats.** In the latest Quaest survey (conducted September 4–7), she reached 15% of combined vote intentions, up from 10% previously, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) sits at 8% and a cluster including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) trails at 6% each within the margin of error. Paraná Pesquisas similarly places Benedita at 30.7% and Crivella at 20.5%, with others competitive but behind. Traders price her at 66.5% for first place, reflecting her established name recognition, PT-Lula alignment, and momentum in the early official campaign period, contrasted with Crivella’s 23.9% as the main challenger and lower odds for the rest amid high undecided and blank votes.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,747
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the strongest position in the Rio de Janeiro Senate race for first place, backed by recent polling gains ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats.** In the latest Quaest survey (conducted September 4–7), she reached 15% of combined vote intentions, up from 10% previously, while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) sits at 8% and a cluster including Carlos Jordy (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) trails at 6% each within the margin of error. Paraná Pesquisas similarly places Benedita at 30.7% and Crivella at 20.5%, with others competitive but behind. Traders price her at 66.5% for first place, reflecting her established name recognition, PT-Lula alignment, and momentum in the early official campaign period, contrasted with Crivella’s 23.9% as the main challenger and lower odds for the rest amid high undecided and blank votes.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,747
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Marcelo Crivella obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Marcelo Crivella obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

57%
Oui
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

58%
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

73%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Benedita da Silva » à 62%, suivi de « Marcelo Crivella » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 62¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place » a généré $46.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place » est « Benedita da Silva » à 62%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marcelo Crivella » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.