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icon for Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place

Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place

icon for Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place

Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place

Randolfe 44%

Lucas Barreto 39%

Alliny Serrão 8%

Rayssa Furlan 6.9%

Polymarket

$16,025 Vol.

Randolfe 44%

Lucas Barreto 39%

Alliny Serrão 8%

Rayssa Furlan 6.9%

Polymarket

$16,025 Vol.

icon for Randolfe

Randolfe

$8,845 Vol.

44%

icon for Lucas Barreto

Lucas Barreto

$3,162 Vol.

39%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$615 Vol.

8%

icon for Rayssa Furlan

Rayssa Furlan

$252 Vol.

7%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$154 Vol.

4%

icon for Capi

Capi

$207 Vol.

4%

icon for Acácio Favacho

Acácio Favacho

$482 Vol.

3%

icon for Professeur Uzian Pinto

Professeur Uzian Pinto

$493 Vol.

3%

icon for Helio Silva

Helio Silva

$1,816 Vol.

1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving the contest for second place tightly matched between incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto. A Real Time Big Data survey from early September placed Randolfe ahead of Barreto in consolidated vote intentions, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão and others. The state's multi-vote system, where electors select up to two candidates, amplifies small shifts in second preferences and turnout among key regional blocs. With the October election weeks away, trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, as further polls, campaign alliances, or late voter consolidation could separate the contenders before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,025
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving the contest for second place tightly matched between incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto. A Real Time Big Data survey from early September placed Randolfe ahead of Barreto in consolidated vote intentions, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão and others. The state's multi-vote system, where electors select up to two candidates, amplifies small shifts in second preferences and turnout among key regional blocs. With the October election weeks away, trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, as further polls, campaign alliances, or late voter consolidation could separate the contenders before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,025
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Randolfe » à 44%, suivi de « Lucas Barreto » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place » a généré $16K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place » est « Randolfe » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lucas Barreto » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.