Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRayssa Furlan 81%
Randolfe 5.9%
Lucas Barreto 4.3%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 Vol.
$33,027 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Rayssa Furlan
81%
Randolfe
6%
Lucas Barreto
4%
Alliny Serrão
1%
Acácio Favacho
<1%
Helio Silva
<1%
Juíza Jô
<1%
Professeur Uzian Pinto
<1%
Capi
<1%
Rayssa Furlan 81%
Randolfe 5.9%
Lucas Barreto 4.3%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$33,027 Vol.
$33,027 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$24,894 Vol.
81%
Randolfe
$1,437 Vol.
6%
Lucas Barreto
$1,386 Vol.
4%
Alliny Serrão
$1,207 Vol.
1%
Acácio Favacho
$879 Vol.
<1%
Helio Silva
$573 Vol.
<1%
Juíza Jô
$952 Vol.
<1%
Professeur Uzian Pinto
$947 Vol.
<1%
Capi
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$33,027Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,027Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for one of Amapá’s two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, with a September Real Time Big Data survey placing her at 33% in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions, well ahead of incumbent Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 20% and Lucas Barreto (PSD) at 14%. Her position reflects strong name recognition tied to her husband’s dominant gubernatorial campaign and consistent advantages across voter segments in earlier surveys. The remaining candidates, including Alliny Serrão and Acácio Favacho, register single-digit support, while several others remain below 1%. Traders appear to price the race around Furlan’s sustained polling edge and limited time for challengers to close the gap before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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