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icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

Marcelo Crivella 56.8%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Pedro Paulo 12.3%

Polymarket

$53,386 Vol.

Marcelo Crivella 56.8%

Benedita da Silva 16%

Carlos Jordy 14%

Pedro Paulo 12.3%

Polymarket

$53,386 Vol.

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$7,811 Vol.

57%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$9,522 Vol.

16%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$11,146 Vol.

14%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$7,807 Vol.

12%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$5,369 Vol.

4%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$2,052 Vol.

1%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$1,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$896 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$1,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$2,185 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$1,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$533 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from early September show Benedita da Silva (PT) pulling ahead for one Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among right-leaning and centrist contenders. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) leads this group numerically in most surveys, ahead of Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho (both PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and others, though all remain within the margin of error amid 20-30% undecided or blank responses. Traders price Crivella highest for second place, reflecting his name recognition as a former mayor and cleared candidacy, yet the race stays tight due to shifting alliances, low voter familiarity with many names, and potential late consolidation around chapa partners or Lula-aligned voters. Upcoming polling releases could widen gaps before the October election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,386
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from early September show Benedita da Silva (PT) pulling ahead for one Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among right-leaning and centrist contenders. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) leads this group numerically in most surveys, ahead of Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho (both PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and others, though all remain within the margin of error amid 20-30% undecided or blank responses. Traders price Crivella highest for second place, reflecting his name recognition as a former mayor and cleared candidacy, yet the race stays tight due to shifting alliances, low voter familiarity with many names, and potential late consolidation around chapa partners or Lula-aligned voters. Upcoming polling releases could widen gaps before the October election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,386
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Benedita da Silva obtiendra-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Benedita da Silva obtiendra-t-elle le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

66%
Oui
icon for Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

33%
Oui
icon for Zenaide Maia obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Zenaide Maia obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

50%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marcelo Crivella » à 57%, suivi de « Benedita da Silva » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » a généré $53.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est « Marcelo Crivella » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Benedita da Silva » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.