Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Pierre-Luc Brillant 52%

Gisèle Pouhe Njall 43%

David Lavoie 3.0%

Mildred Mathieu <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Pierre-Luc Brillant 52%

Gisèle Pouhe Njall 43%

David Lavoie 3.0%

Mildred Mathieu <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Pierre-Luc Brillant

Pierre-Luc Brillant

$1,713 Vol.

52%

icon for Gisèle Pouhe Njall

Gisèle Pouhe Njall

$3,444 Vol.

43%

icon for David Lavoie

David Lavoie

$1,913 Vol.

3%

icon for Mildred Mathieu

Mildred Mathieu

$824 Vol.

1%

icon for Nour Aliyah Attié

Nour Aliyah Attié

$917 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Rosemont riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader pricing reflects a tight contest between Parti Québécois candidate Pierre-Luc Brillant and Québec solidaire’s Gisèle Pouhe Njall, with other nominees such as Liberal David Lavoie, CAQ’s Nour Aliyah Attié, and Conservative Mildred Mathieu trailing substantially. The riding, previously held by independent Vincent Marissal after his departure from QS, shows PQ support edging ahead in recent seat projections amid a broader provincial campaign where the PQ holds a polling lead but faces a fragmented opposition. Local priorities including hospital reconstruction, housing costs, and education infrastructure have featured in candidate statements since nominations closed in mid-September. Further separation could emerge from late-campaign polling shifts, turnout among Montreal voters, or developments in the wider race between the PQ and CAQ that influence second-choice preferences in this toss-up district.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$8,811
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Rosemont riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader pricing reflects a tight contest between Parti Québécois candidate Pierre-Luc Brillant and Québec solidaire’s Gisèle Pouhe Njall, with other nominees such as Liberal David Lavoie, CAQ’s Nour Aliyah Attié, and Conservative Mildred Mathieu trailing substantially. The riding, previously held by independent Vincent Marissal after his departure from QS, shows PQ support edging ahead in recent seat projections amid a broader provincial campaign where the PQ holds a polling lead but faces a fragmented opposition. Local priorities including hospital reconstruction, housing costs, and education infrastructure have featured in candidate statements since nominations closed in mid-September. Further separation could emerge from late-campaign polling shifts, turnout among Montreal voters, or developments in the wider race between the PQ and CAQ that influence second-choice preferences in this toss-up district.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$8,811
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?

65%
icon for Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?

36%
icon for Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

82%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pierre-Luc Brillant" at 52%, followed by "Gisèle Pouhe Njall" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Pierre-Luc Brillant" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gisèle Pouhe Njall" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.