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icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Rousseau 64%

Bernard Sévigny 21%

Hugo Fontaine 11.0%

Dominic Bouffard 4.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Guillaume Rousseau 64%

Bernard Sévigny 21%

Hugo Fontaine 11.0%

Dominic Bouffard 4.2%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guillaume Rousseau

Guillaume Rousseau

$6,639 Vol.

64%

icon for Bernard Sévigny

Bernard Sévigny

$201 Vol.

21%

icon for Hugo Fontaine

Hugo Fontaine

$744 Vol.

11%

icon for Dominic Bouffard

Dominic Bouffard

$296 Vol.

4%

icon for David Poulin-Latulippe

David Poulin-Latulippe

$195 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Guillaume Rousseau, the Coalition avenir Québec candidate and a University of Sherbrooke law professor who helped shape and defend Bill 21 on state secularism, leads trader pricing in the Richmond riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election. The seat, held by the CAQ since 2018 and previously by the Liberals, features a competitive field that includes former Sherbrooke mayor Bernard Sévigny for the Parti québécois, ex-journalist Hugo Fontaine for the Parti libéral du Québec, entrepreneur Dominic Bouffard for the Parti conservateur du Québec, and psychologist David Poulin-Latulippe for Québec solidaire. Recent candidate announcements, the open seat after incumbent André Bachand’s retirement, and the riding’s mixed 2022 results have kept the contest fluid, with 338Canada projections showing a narrow three-way spread among CAQ, PQ, and Liberal support. Traders appear to assign particular weight to Rousseau’s local profile and the CAQ’s organizational edge in Estrie as the election draws near, while lower odds for the other named contenders reflect their respective parties’ narrower paths in this constituency.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$8,075
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Guillaume Rousseau, the Coalition avenir Québec candidate and a University of Sherbrooke law professor who helped shape and defend Bill 21 on state secularism, leads trader pricing in the Richmond riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec National Assembly election. The seat, held by the CAQ since 2018 and previously by the Liberals, features a competitive field that includes former Sherbrooke mayor Bernard Sévigny for the Parti québécois, ex-journalist Hugo Fontaine for the Parti libéral du Québec, entrepreneur Dominic Bouffard for the Parti conservateur du Québec, and psychologist David Poulin-Latulippe for Québec solidaire. Recent candidate announcements, the open seat after incumbent André Bachand’s retirement, and the riding’s mixed 2022 results have kept the contest fluid, with 338Canada projections showing a narrow three-way spread among CAQ, PQ, and Liberal support. Traders appear to assign particular weight to Rousseau’s local profile and the CAQ’s organizational edge in Estrie as the election draws near, while lower odds for the other named contenders reflect their respective parties’ narrower paths in this constituency.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$8,075
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 64%, followed by "Bernard Sévigny" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Guillaume Rousseau" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernard Sévigny" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.