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icon for Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·International Election Props

Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Politics·International Election Props

Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gabriel Coulombe 36%

Éloïse Coulombe 31%

Marie-Josée Morency 10%

Georges Goma 5.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Gabriel Coulombe 36%

Éloïse Coulombe 31%

Marie-Josée Morency 10%

Georges Goma 5.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Gabriel Coulombe

Gabriel Coulombe

$368 Vol.

36%

icon for Éloïse Coulombe

Éloïse Coulombe

$540 Vol.

31%

icon for Marie-Josée Morency

Marie-Josée Morency

$543 Vol.

10%

icon for Georges Goma

Georges Goma

$306 Vol.

5%

icon for Seynabou Top

Seynabou Top

$467 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open Charlesbourg seat, vacated by retiring CAQ incumbent Jonatan Julien, has produced a competitive three-way contest among PQ candidate Gabriel Coulombe, CPQ candidate Éloïse Coulombe, and CAQ candidate Marie-Josée Morency ahead of the October 5 election. Recent provincial polling aggregates show PQ support leading overall but fragmented in the Quebec City region, where CPQ and residual CAQ strength create narrow margins in models projecting roughly even chances among the top three. Nomination filings closed in mid-September with limited additional entrants, while local priorities such as housing costs, mobility infrastructure, and regional economic development have featured in candidate messaging without shifting the balance. Trader pricing aligns with these toss-up dynamics, where modest changes in turnout among older voters or late campaign events could alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,224
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open Charlesbourg seat, vacated by retiring CAQ incumbent Jonatan Julien, has produced a competitive three-way contest among PQ candidate Gabriel Coulombe, CPQ candidate Éloïse Coulombe, and CAQ candidate Marie-Josée Morency ahead of the October 5 election. Recent provincial polling aggregates show PQ support leading overall but fragmented in the Quebec City region, where CPQ and residual CAQ strength create narrow margins in models projecting roughly even chances among the top three. Nomination filings closed in mid-September with limited additional entrants, while local priorities such as housing costs, mobility infrastructure, and regional economic development have featured in candidate messaging without shifting the balance. Trader pricing aligns with these toss-up dynamics, where modest changes in turnout among older voters or late campaign events could alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,224
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gabriel Coulombe" at 36%, followed by "Éloïse Coulombe" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Gabriel Coulombe" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Éloïse Coulombe" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.