Victor Mellor holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus around his substantial fundraising advantage and broader campaign resources compared to Stephen Skoly. Mellor reported over $3 million raised by late August, dwarfing Skoly’s totals, while securing notable national conservative support including from former national security advisor Michael Flynn. Although the state Republican Party endorsed Skoly at its June convention after the nominating committee passed over Mellor, the primary electorate on September 9 appears to have favored Mellor’s profile as a Marine veteran and business owner emphasizing border security, Second Amendment rights, and parental authority. Late-breaking developments such as official vote certification, any procedural challenges, or unusually high absentee ballot shifts remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
Victor Mellor
100%
Stephen Skoly
<1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
Victor Mellor
100%
Stephen Skoly
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Victor Mellor holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus around his substantial fundraising advantage and broader campaign resources compared to Stephen Skoly. Mellor reported over $3 million raised by late August, dwarfing Skoly’s totals, while securing notable national conservative support including from former national security advisor Michael Flynn. Although the state Republican Party endorsed Skoly at its June convention after the nominating committee passed over Mellor, the primary electorate on September 9 appears to have favored Mellor’s profile as a Marine veteran and business owner emphasizing border security, Second Amendment rights, and parental authority. Late-breaking developments such as official vote certification, any procedural challenges, or unusually high absentee ballot shifts remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome before final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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