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icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Chen-chung 78%

Wu Shu-chin 23%

Yeh Chu-lin 1.6%

Chen Chin-chuan <1%

Polymarket

$10,305 Vol.

Chen Chen-chung 78%

Wu Shu-chin 23%

Yeh Chu-lin 1.6%

Chen Chin-chuan <1%

Polymarket

$10,305 Vol.

icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$3,132 Vol.

78%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,900 Vol.

23%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$413 Vol.

2%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$370 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$970 Vol.

1%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$521 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads the Penghu County Magistrate race with a 77.5% implied probability, well ahead of Wu Shu-chin at 22.5% and the remaining candidates below 2%. The KMT nominee, a former Huxi Township head, benefits from unified party backing after nomination in April 2026. In contrast, the DPP fielded Wu Shu-chin in June after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu’s February head injury left him unable to campaign, disrupting continuity in a county that has alternated between the major parties. A crowded field of six candidates, including independents Yeh Chu-lin, Hsu Chih-fu, Chou Ni-an, and Chen Chin-chuan, raises the prospect of vote fragmentation similar to the 2022 DPP win. Mid-2026 polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead by roughly nine points, and no subsequent developments have altered that positioning ahead of the November 28 vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,305
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung leads the Penghu County Magistrate race with a 77.5% implied probability, well ahead of Wu Shu-chin at 22.5% and the remaining candidates below 2%. The KMT nominee, a former Huxi Township head, benefits from unified party backing after nomination in April 2026. In contrast, the DPP fielded Wu Shu-chin in June after incumbent Chen Kuang-fu’s February head injury left him unable to campaign, disrupting continuity in a county that has alternated between the major parties. A crowded field of six candidates, including independents Yeh Chu-lin, Hsu Chih-fu, Chou Ni-an, and Chen Chin-chuan, raises the prospect of vote fragmentation similar to the 2022 DPP win. Mid-2026 polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead by roughly nine points, and no subsequent developments have altered that positioning ahead of the November 28 vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,305
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Chen-chung" at 78%, followed by "Wu Shu-chin" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" has generated $10.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Chen-chung" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wu Shu-chin" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.