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icon for Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

Hsu Hsin-ying 64%

Cheng Chao-fang 35%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$11,340 Vol.

Hsu Hsin-ying 64%

Cheng Chao-fang 35%

Lin Szu-ming <1%

Chen Chien-hsien <1%

Polymarket

$11,340 Vol.

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying

Hsu Hsin-ying

$3,857 Vol.

64%

icon for Cheng Chao-fang

Cheng Chao-fang

$5,770 Vol.

35%

icon for Lin Szu-ming

Lin Szu-ming

$966 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chien-hsien

Chen Chien-hsien

$747 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race with the strongest trader consensus, ahead of Democratic Progressive Party nominee Cheng Chao-fang, the Zhubei mayor. Hsu secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 through a mixed primary system weighting polls at 70 percent and party-member votes at 30 percent, overcoming internal disputes and a narrow loss in the member vote. Cheng received the DPP nomination in June, positioning him as the main challenger in a contest centered on urban-rural divides and local governance records. Candidate registration in early September confirmed a two-candidate focus, with minor independents including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien registering negligible support after Chen declined an independent bid. The recent breakdown of local KMT-TPP coordination over the Zhubei mayoral race has limited opposition alignment, while Hsu benefits from wider geographic backing outside Zhubei and consolidated party infrastructure ahead of the November 28 vote. These factors underpin the current implied probabilities in the market.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$11,340
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race with the strongest trader consensus, ahead of Democratic Progressive Party nominee Cheng Chao-fang, the Zhubei mayor. Hsu secured the KMT nomination in March 2026 through a mixed primary system weighting polls at 70 percent and party-member votes at 30 percent, overcoming internal disputes and a narrow loss in the member vote. Cheng received the DPP nomination in June, positioning him as the main challenger in a contest centered on urban-rural divides and local governance records. Candidate registration in early September confirmed a two-candidate focus, with minor independents including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien registering negligible support after Chen declined an independent bid. The recent breakdown of local KMT-TPP coordination over the Zhubei mayoral race has limited opposition alignment, while Hsu benefits from wider geographic backing outside Zhubei and consolidated party infrastructure ahead of the November 28 vote. These factors underpin the current implied probabilities in the market.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$11,340
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hsu Hsin-ying" at 64%, followed by "Cheng Chao-fang" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner" has generated $11.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Hsu Hsin-ying" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cheng Chao-fang" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.