Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Erwin Wiens 50%

Andrea Kaiser 23%

Vaughn Goettler 5.9%

Polymarket

$15,296 Vol.

Erwin Wiens 50%

Andrea Kaiser 23%

Vaughn Goettler 5.9%

Polymarket

$15,296 Vol.

icon for Erwin Wiens

Erwin Wiens

$10,198 Vol.

50%

icon for Andrea Kaiser

Andrea Kaiser

$4,908 Vol.

23%

icon for Vaughn Goettler

Vaughn Goettler

$190 Vol.

6%

The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.The open lord mayor seat in Niagara-on-the-Lake, following incumbent Gary Zalepa’s decision to pursue the Niagara Regional Chair role, has produced a tight three-candidate contest ahead of the October 26 vote. Traders assign Erwin Wiens the narrowest edge, reflecting his council tenure since 2018, deputy role, and emphasis on tax control plus resistance to amalgamation and growth pressures. Andrea Kaiser’s regional councillor experience since 2022 supports her positioning on heritage preservation and community services, while Vaughn Goettler draws on prior campaign visibility and business background to highlight controlled development. With nominations closed in August and no public polls available, overlapping platforms on local autonomy and fiscal discipline keep the race competitive, and upcoming candidate forums could provide differentiation before advance voting begins in early October.

The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.
Volume
$15,296
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.The open lord mayor seat in Niagara-on-the-Lake, following incumbent Gary Zalepa’s decision to pursue the Niagara Regional Chair role, has produced a tight three-candidate contest ahead of the October 26 vote. Traders assign Erwin Wiens the narrowest edge, reflecting his council tenure since 2018, deputy role, and emphasis on tax control plus resistance to amalgamation and growth pressures. Andrea Kaiser’s regional councillor experience since 2022 supports her positioning on heritage preservation and community services, while Vaughn Goettler draws on prior campaign visibility and business background to highlight controlled development. With nominations closed in August and no public polls available, overlapping platforms on local autonomy and fiscal discipline keep the race competitive, and upcoming candidate forums could provide differentiation before advance voting begins in early October.

The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.The 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Niagara-on-the-Lake, Ontario.
Volume
$15,296
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Jim Diodati win the 2026 Niagara Falls mayoral election?

Will Jim Diodati win the 2026 Niagara Falls mayoral election?

84%
icon for Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?

Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election?

59%
icon for Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?

Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Erwin Wiens" at 50%, followed by "Andrea Kaiser" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Erwin Wiens" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrea Kaiser" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.