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icon for Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Paul Lefebvre 92%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli 4.0%

Rodney Newton 1.6%

Michael McIntosh 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Paul Lefebvre 92%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli 4.0%

Rodney Newton 1.6%

Michael McIntosh 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Paul Lefebvre

Paul Lefebvre

$1,604 Vol.

92%

icon for Miranda Rocca-Circelli

Miranda Rocca-Circelli

$4,443 Vol.

4%

icon for Rodney Newton

Rodney Newton

$221 Vol.

2%

icon for Michael McIntosh

Michael McIntosh

$180 Vol.

1%

icon for Joseph Boutros

Joseph Boutros

$183 Vol.

1%

icon for Keenan Menard

Keenan Menard

$204 Vol.

1%

icon for Troy Crowder

Troy Crowder

$180 Vol.

1%

icon for Bob Johnston

Bob Johnston

$188 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.Incumbent Mayor Paul Lefebvre holds a commanding lead in the Greater Sudbury mayoral race ahead of the October 26 vote, reflecting his 2022 victory margin exceeding 52 percent and consistent messaging around economic momentum. Recent developments include major private and provincial investments in mining infrastructure, population and assessment growth, and progress on projects such as the downtown events centre, all of which traders appear to credit to stable leadership during his first term. Fragmented opposition from candidates including Miranda Rocca-Circelli, Bob Johnston, Troy Crowder, and Rodney Newton has not coalesced into a unified challenge. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late scandal, health issue, or sharp economic reversal that shifts voter focus toward accountability on housing, transit, or fiscal oversight.

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
Volume
$7,203
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.Incumbent Mayor Paul Lefebvre holds a commanding lead in the Greater Sudbury mayoral race ahead of the October 26 vote, reflecting his 2022 victory margin exceeding 52 percent and consistent messaging around economic momentum. Recent developments include major private and provincial investments in mining infrastructure, population and assessment growth, and progress on projects such as the downtown events centre, all of which traders appear to credit to stable leadership during his first term. Fragmented opposition from candidates including Miranda Rocca-Circelli, Bob Johnston, Troy Crowder, and Rodney Newton has not coalesced into a unified challenge. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late scandal, health issue, or sharp economic reversal that shifts voter focus toward accountability on housing, transit, or fiscal oversight.

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
Volume
$7,203
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Lefebvre" at 92%, followed by "Miranda Rocca-Circelli" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Paul Lefebvre" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Miranda Rocca-Circelli" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.