Lori Trahan's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District reflects the seat's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index around D+11. She advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 primary after raising over $1.2 million, while Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, faces limited resources and no competitive primary. Multiple forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Trahan aligns with this structural advantage. A late scandal, significant national Republican surge, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent represent the main variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-03 House Election Winner
MA-03 House Election Winner
$23,313 Обс.
$23,313 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Lori Trahan (D)
96%
Gary Grossi (R)
2%
$23,313 Обс.
$23,313 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Lori Trahan (D)
$11,843 Обс.
96%
Gary Grossi (R)
$11,470 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lori Trahan's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District reflects the seat's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index around D+11. She advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 primary after raising over $1.2 million, while Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, faces limited resources and no competitive primary. Multiple forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Trahan aligns with this structural advantage. A late scandal, significant national Republican surge, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent represent the main variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,313Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lori Trahan's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District reflects the seat's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index around D+11. She advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 primary after raising over $1.2 million, while Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, faces limited resources and no competitive primary. Multiple forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Trahan aligns with this structural advantage. A late scandal, significant national Republican surge, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent represent the main variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,313Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Lori Trahan's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Massachusetts's 3rd Congressional District reflects the seat's consistent partisan lean, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index around D+11. She advanced unopposed through the September 1, 2026 primary after raising over $1.2 million, while Republican nominee Gary Grossi, a retired Army colonel, faces limited resources and no competitive primary. Multiple forecasters including Decision Desk HQ and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe for the incumbent ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 96.3% for Trahan aligns with this structural advantage. A late scandal, significant national Republican surge, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent represent the main variables that could narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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