Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November 3 general election in Massachusetts' 4th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior statewide results and current forecasting models rating it solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around his commanding lead. Stalcup, the unopposed Republican nominee, faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major unforeseen scandal, health issue, or significant late-campaign shift in national conditions, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-04 House Election Winner
MA-04 House Election Winner
$47,254 Обс.
$47,254 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jake Auchincloss (D)
97%
Tom Stalcup (R)
1%
$47,254 Обс.
$47,254 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jake Auchincloss (D)
$23,504 Обс.
97%
Tom Stalcup (R)
$23,750 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November 3 general election in Massachusetts' 4th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior statewide results and current forecasting models rating it solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around his commanding lead. Stalcup, the unopposed Republican nominee, faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major unforeseen scandal, health issue, or significant late-campaign shift in national conditions, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,254Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November 3 general election in Massachusetts' 4th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior statewide results and current forecasting models rating it solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around his commanding lead. Stalcup, the unopposed Republican nominee, faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major unforeseen scandal, health issue, or significant late-campaign shift in national conditions, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$47,254Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jake Auchincloss secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly for the November 3 general election in Massachusetts' 4th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior statewide results and current forecasting models rating it solid Democratic, underpins trader consensus around his commanding lead. Stalcup, the unopposed Republican nominee, faces structural challenges including limited fundraising and the district's voter composition. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major unforeseen scandal, health issue, or significant late-campaign shift in national conditions, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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