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icon for CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket
НОВЕ
Polymarket
НОВЕ

Ken Calvert

$1,644 Обс.

67%

Young Kim

$1,463 Обс.

32%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting via Proposition 50 placed Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same CA-40 district for the November 3, 2026, general election after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary. Calvert, the longer-serving member representing a larger portion of the redrawn district, secured 34.9% in the primary compared to Kim’s 20.6%, establishing an early edge. Negative advertising has focused on each candidate’s record and alignment with Republican priorities, while a July poll indicated a statistical dead heat. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors Calvert, consistent with incumbency patterns and district composition in this all-Republican contest.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,107
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting via Proposition 50 placed Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same CA-40 district for the November 3, 2026, general election after both advanced from the June 2 top-two primary. Calvert, the longer-serving member representing a larger portion of the redrawn district, secured 34.9% in the primary compared to Kim’s 20.6%, establishing an early edge. Negative advertising has focused on each candidate’s record and alignment with Republican priorities, while a July poll indicated a statistical dead heat. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors Calvert, consistent with incumbency patterns and district composition in this all-Republican contest.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,107
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ken Calvert» з 67%, далі «Young Kim» з 32%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» — «Ken Calvert» з 67%. Наступний — «Young Kim» з 32%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.