Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race features former Republican Governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following the retirement of incumbent Jared Golden. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring LePage, reinforced by his stronger fundraising and unopposed primary. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a tight four-candidate contest. A July poll showed the candidates essentially tied, highlighting the seat’s battleground status. Limited subsequent developments have kept probabilities close, with separation likely hinging on fall advertising, turnout in rural areas, and any late national shifts affecting this open-seat contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоME-02 House Election Winner
ME-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
58%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
42%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
$5,814 Обс.
58%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
$2,263 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race features former Republican Governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following the retirement of incumbent Jared Golden. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring LePage, reinforced by his stronger fundraising and unopposed primary. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a tight four-candidate contest. A July poll showed the candidates essentially tied, highlighting the seat’s battleground status. Limited subsequent developments have kept probabilities close, with separation likely hinging on fall advertising, turnout in rural areas, and any late national shifts affecting this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,077Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race features former Republican Governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following the retirement of incumbent Jared Golden. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring LePage, reinforced by his stronger fundraising and unopposed primary. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a tight four-candidate contest. A July poll showed the candidates essentially tied, highlighting the seat’s battleground status. Limited subsequent developments have kept probabilities close, with separation likely hinging on fall advertising, turnout in rural areas, and any late national shifts affecting this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,077Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race features former Republican Governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matthew Dunlap following the retirement of incumbent Jared Golden. The district’s Republican tilt, shown by Donald Trump’s 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring LePage, reinforced by his stronger fundraising and unopposed primary. Dunlap secured the Democratic nomination through ranked-choice voting in June after a tight four-candidate contest. A July poll showed the candidates essentially tied, highlighting the seat’s battleground status. Limited subsequent developments have kept probabilities close, with separation likely hinging on fall advertising, turnout in rural areas, and any late national shifts affecting this open-seat contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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