Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$63,420 Обс.
$63,420 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
4%
$63,420 Обс.
$63,420 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,576 Обс.
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,845 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$63,420Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$63,420Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Scott’s commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district’s entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 1993 and re-elected with 70 percent in 2024, faces minimal opposition after uncontested primaries, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera and two independents trail sharply in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 95.8 percent for Scott aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current campaign dynamics make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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