Marty Jackley holds a commanding position in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in congressional contests since 2008 and his strong June 2026 primary victory with 79 percent of the vote. As the open-seat contest follows Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, Jackley's tenure as attorney general and prior statewide experience provide broad name recognition and fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside limited Democratic statewide success. Recent candidate exchanges on mail-in voting rules have highlighted policy differences but have not altered the overall positioning. A shift would require significant late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments within the November resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$32,071 Обс.
$32,071 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
4%
$32,071 Обс.
$32,071 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,383 Обс.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley holds a commanding position in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in congressional contests since 2008 and his strong June 2026 primary victory with 79 percent of the vote. As the open-seat contest follows Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, Jackley's tenure as attorney general and prior statewide experience provide broad name recognition and fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside limited Democratic statewide success. Recent candidate exchanges on mail-in voting rules have highlighted policy differences but have not altered the overall positioning. A shift would require significant late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments within the November resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,071Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley holds a commanding position in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in congressional contests since 2008 and his strong June 2026 primary victory with 79 percent of the vote. As the open-seat contest follows Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, Jackley's tenure as attorney general and prior statewide experience provide broad name recognition and fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside limited Democratic statewide success. Recent candidate exchanges on mail-in voting rules have highlighted policy differences but have not altered the overall positioning. A shift would require significant late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments within the November resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,071Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Marty Jackley holds a commanding position in the South Dakota at-large House race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance in congressional contests since 2008 and his strong June 2026 primary victory with 79 percent of the vote. As the open-seat contest follows Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, Jackley's tenure as attorney general and prior statewide experience provide broad name recognition and fundraising advantages over Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside limited Democratic statewide success. Recent candidate exchanges on mail-in voting rules have highlighted policy differences but have not altered the overall positioning. A shift would require significant late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments within the November resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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