Kathy Castor's incumbency and established fundraising advantage in Florida's 14th district sustain her lead in trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting enacted in May 2026 confined the seat entirely to Hillsborough County, shifting the map toward greater competitiveness and prompting mixed race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 45.6% of the vote and has drawn national party support as one of several targeted Florida contests. Limited available polling shows a narrow Castor edge, while the absence of a Democratic primary and Beltran's ultra-conservative positioning highlight the contest's focus on turnout and swing voters in the redrawn lines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$41,742 Обс.
$41,742 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
35%
$41,742 Обс.
$41,742 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$21,658 Обс.
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
$20,084 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor's incumbency and established fundraising advantage in Florida's 14th district sustain her lead in trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting enacted in May 2026 confined the seat entirely to Hillsborough County, shifting the map toward greater competitiveness and prompting mixed race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 45.6% of the vote and has drawn national party support as one of several targeted Florida contests. Limited available polling shows a narrow Castor edge, while the absence of a Democratic primary and Beltran's ultra-conservative positioning highlight the contest's focus on turnout and swing voters in the redrawn lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,742Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor's incumbency and established fundraising advantage in Florida's 14th district sustain her lead in trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting enacted in May 2026 confined the seat entirely to Hillsborough County, shifting the map toward greater competitiveness and prompting mixed race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 45.6% of the vote and has drawn national party support as one of several targeted Florida contests. Limited available polling shows a narrow Castor edge, while the absence of a Democratic primary and Beltran's ultra-conservative positioning highlight the contest's focus on turnout and swing voters in the redrawn lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$41,742Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor's incumbency and established fundraising advantage in Florida's 14th district sustain her lead in trader pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Redistricting enacted in May 2026 confined the seat entirely to Hillsborough County, shifting the map toward greater competitiveness and prompting mixed race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican. Mike Beltran secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 45.6% of the vote and has drawn national party support as one of several targeted Florida contests. Limited available polling shows a narrow Castor edge, while the absence of a Democratic primary and Beltran's ultra-conservative positioning highlight the contest's focus on turnout and swing voters in the redrawn lines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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